I think it’d look something like this:
50 years: Textbooks mostly gone from schools in many developed countries. Paper might be used occasionally when tech isn’t working, but teaching will be done mostly on computers or tablets. Most kids will have “ugly” handwriting because of they rarely write. The devices kids use to learn might be provided by the school, or some schools school might require kids to bring their own as part of a back to school supplies list.
In the adult world, paper will be mostly gone except like militaries or certain government agencies where secrecy is important. Certain jobs where there are safety procedures to be followed will still have paper instruction manuals.
For the average person’s home, there will be no paper except perhaps a small amount of people who still carry cash. Privacy-concious people will still write on paper. Everyone else just use their phone notes app.
In developing/undeveloped countries, they will be mostly the same but lagged behind developed countries like 30 years.
100 years: Paper is near extinct. Schools no longer have paper except one or two packs of printer paper in the main office probably for redundancy. Tech mostly don’t fail anymore, so any paper probably has been sitting on a shelf somewhere for many years. There would be very few amount of paper left in the world. For security sensitive purposes, air-gapped tablets will replace paper.
From this point on, humanity will move towards a future without paper.
But that’s just my prediction, what do you think?
Imma be honest, this sounds like some silicon valley futurist arrogance nonsense. Tech literally cannot usurp paper in terms of ease of use or how cheap it is to access. Paper is a renewable resource that requires a minimal amount of effort to process and create while every computer requires rare elements that have to be mined out of the ground in limited qualities. App makers still havent been able to create a decent note taking app and its been what, 15 years give or take since the tablet?
No, this just sound like some lazy person’s weird vision of a future without paper because writing takes too much energy.
(The lazy person is me)
I find the effort in paper is the reading, not the writing.
Idk man, if I wanted to write out this comment I can just whip out my phone, but if I wanted to write on paper I’d have to go and actually find paper, find a pen that works, if I don’t then I have to find a pencil that’s sharpened, and if it’s not then I have to find a pencil sharpener
Even if I had a pen and paper always on me like my phone, I type significantly faster on my phone compared to writing on paper anyways, and typing take significantly less effort than writing does
Yeah but if you didnt have a phone how much would you have to spend to get one? 500 dollars? 1000 dollars? You might not have them now but it costs like maybe 10 bucks to fix that.
undefined> Idk man, if I wanted to write out this comment I can just whip out my phone
And what if you need to give an email to someone, quickly, you give them your phone? Go through the hoops of exchanging contact information? Potentially breaching your peace of mind ?