https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/science-isnt-broken/
Another study with the same goal of comparing the results from different research teams found similar disparities, though the graphs aren’t quite as pretty.
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What do you mean, all different? Most are exactly the same. The first 4 are a bit low and the last 3 a bit high, but last 2 and first also extremely wide, so irrelevant anyway. Everything else agrees, most within >99 % confidence with only slight differences on the absolute values.
The chart sure makes it look like there was an overall consensus that refs are about 1.5x as likely, though.